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Institutional investment in timberland accounts for more than $40 billion according to Hancock Timber Resource Group year-end 2007 estimates. Historically, investments in timberland have provided total real returns
(net of inflation) of 6-10 percent, and nominal returns of 9-15 percent.
History of timberland investing
Beginning in the mid-1970s, two forces accelerated institutional ownership
of timberland: passage of the Employee Retirement Income Security Act
(ERISA) in 1974, and increasing sales of timberland by large forest products
companies. The ERISA laws encouraged institutional investors to diversify
away from traditional fixed-income securities, and led them first to greater
investment in stocks, then to investment in other assets such as commercial
real estate. Ownership of timberland real estate provided yet another
opportunity for diversification. During this same period, forest products
companies began to evaluate the strategic role of their timberland holdings.
Some saw the value in their forests, particularly in the underlying land,
as potential capital. These companies could sell their timberland, with
the proceeds being invested in wood-processing facilities. This, however,
raised the question of who would buy the land. Pension funds and other
institutions with vast amounts of capital, and a legal mandate to diversify
their investments, became logical buyers of this timberland.
Natural investment characteristics
of timberland
A unique characteristic of timberland is that it functions as both a factory
and a warehouse. In other words, timber can be grown and then "stored
on the stump." This gives investors the flexibility of harvesting trees
when timber prices are up, and delaying harvests when prices are down.
Timber is also a renewable resource that increases in value as trees mature.
Consequently, larger diameter trees are disproportionately more valuable
than smaller ones.
Timberland investment risk
The primary risks of timberland investing include market uncertainty (fluctuation
of timber and timberland prices), relative illiquidity (compared to stocks
and other financial assets) and environmental risk (natural hazards or
legislation related to threatened or endangered species). An experienced
forest management firm can mitigate these risks, and geographic diversification
of timberland further offsets risk associated with a specific region.
Portfolio diversification characteristics
of timberland
Because timberland investments tend to move countercyclically with stocks
and bonds, and independent of the real estate sector, timberland can provide
portfolio diversification. Timberland is most commonly placed in the real
estate portfolio, but it can also be placed in an alternative or specialty
investment portfolio. Some larger institutional investors may also place
timberland in a natural resource allocation.
Timberland investment outlook
In addition to owning timberland in the three major timber-growing regions
of the United States (South, Pacific Northwest and Northeast), institutional
investors now own timberland in Australia, Canada, Chile, New Zealand
and Uruguay. Demand for timber is expected to increase as economies in
the United States and abroad continue to grow. Environmental pressures
will also continue to shrink global timber supplies. As institutional
ownership of timberland has grown, a greater variety of investment vehicles
have also become available to investors. The development of new strategies
and vehicles has been motivated by both the search for higher returns
and the desire for greater alignment of interests between investors and
advisors.
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